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Droplet transmission. Image courtesy of the CDC. |
The answer is a complex one because there are multiple ways to get infected. One method of infection (and the one everyone worries about on flights) is droplet or airborne transmission. This occurs by inhaling small particles containing infectious agents that remain infective over time and distance.
Surprisingly, the risk of infection on an airplane via this route is lower than you might think. All commercial aircrafts (and a few modified older planes) recirculate 10-50% of the air in the cabin and mix in the air from outside. The recirculated air passes through a series of filters 20-30 times per hour. In newer-model airplanes, high-efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filters capture 99.9% of particles 0.1-0.3 um in diameter. Also, the air isn't forced up and down the length of the airplane, but rather flows transversely across the plane in limited bands (saving you from that coughing passenger several rows ahead).
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Seating diagram for passengers exposed to measles, rubella, or TB. Image courtesy of the CDC. |
If the sick passenger is sitting next to you, the risk is about the same as sitting next to any other ill person (the odds of infection
change depending on what is making the person sick). The good news is that there is protocol in place should the disease they carry be of public health concern. Flight contact investigations are performed for infectious tuberculosis (TB), measles, rubella (German measles), pertussis (whooping cough), and meningococcal disease (meningitis). CDC protocols are in place to identify passengers who may have been exposed. Exposed passengers will be contacted by their state and local health departments or ministries of health to inform them about their exposure and what to do.
So take a deep breath, relax, and enjoy the flight (and try not to think to hard about what you might be touching...)